Monthly Archives: March 2013

Roya: Mexico

Roya keeps making worldwide news, today it was The Guardian in the UK the one devoting an article to the impact in the southern state of Chiapas, in Mexico. We have selected their description of the impact on a plantation: … Continue reading

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Cooking with coffee

From the Times of India we got this article:   From using it as a glaze on meat, in different sauces or as a spice, coffee is increasingly being used in cooking today… Coffee lovers, there’s more to it than just sipping … Continue reading

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The Vietnam dilemma: Drought no Drought?

Unlike frosts, which are a clear cut event, droughts in coffee seem to drag forever, will it rain? was it enough? was it to late already? The situation in Vietnam is certainly relevant. To the south of the coffee growing … Continue reading

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The Current Fall in Arabica Coffee Prices in Perspective

based on March 19th close: Arabica futures low of  $1.3255  is the lowest since June 2010. Coffee Prices lost 37 percent last year, making it the worst performer in the Standard & Poor’s GSCI gauge of 24 commodities.  Robusta on … Continue reading

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As the bear consensus grows, how to look for the contrarian buying chance?

Markets bottom when the last holdouts try, against their instinct, to join the party and the longs finally give up.  In other words when that friend that said that it was a buy at 160, 150 and 140 finally turns … Continue reading

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Bloomberg reports that Vietnamese Drought Talk is Premature

As the price for robusta falls (as most commodities have done in these days) a news today says that this is due to an improvement on the rain expectations for Vietnam.  Improvement that makes all the talk about a drought … Continue reading

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Coffee Prices down to a 33-month low: A summary of bearish highlights

Arabica certified stocks are up to more than 2.74 million bags (6.7% higher YTD) Stocks in Brazil are estimated higher also as farmers have slowed down their sales (71% sold vs 87% last year) The low achieved Friday and the … Continue reading

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Coffee Some Support and Resistance Numbers after making a year low

4 Week High 147.50 146.11 38.2% Retracement from 13 Week Low 145.43 14-3 Day Raw Stochastic at 80% 145.11 Price Crosses 40 Day Moving Average 144.40 14-3 Day Raw Stochastic at 70% 143.55 38.2% Retracement from 4 Week High 143.32 … Continue reading

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Technical Market Coffee: Follow up on the Bollinger Band analysis

March 5 we wrote about the spectacular failure of the market from a Bollinger Bands perspective, following on that comment we look back at the last 10 days As we wrote then, the market had entered a squeeze (a narrowing … Continue reading

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Robusta Arabica Arbitrage touched its lowest level in 4 years

Arabica’s coffee premium over robusta fell to 40.67 cents a pound the lowest in four years. Certified Arabica Stocks reached 2.73 million bags yesterday, the highest since March 8, 2010. Certified Robusta coffee in the meantime were 125,820 metric tons on March … Continue reading

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